Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.036483 0.039418 0.042500 0.045981 0.049809 0.053897 0.058599
2025-03-09 0.031278 0.035350 0.039860 0.045246 0.051527 0.058651 0.067384
2025-03-16 0.027643 0.032290 0.037647 0.044318 0.052455 0.062127 0.074595
2025-03-23 0.025173 0.030195 0.036172 0.043873 0.053625 0.065680 0.081901
2025-03-30 0.023225 0.028483 0.034914 0.043446 0.054599 0.068870 0.088812
2025-04-06 0.021415 0.026762 0.033455 0.042560 0.054798 0.070934 0.094253
2025-04-13 0.020430 0.025995 0.033114 0.043036 0.056739 0.075347 0.103152
2025-04-20 0.019388 0.025063 0.032469 0.043014 0.057938 0.078756 0.110831
2025-04-27 0.018675 0.024511 0.032271 0.043556 0.059908 0.083331 0.120533
2025-05-04 0.017770 0.023637 0.031566 0.043312 0.060697 0.086195 0.127825
2025-05-11 0.016983 0.022873 0.030959 0.043148 0.061558 0.089179 0.135493
2025-05-18 0.016201 0.022071 0.030246 0.042770 0.062043 0.091582 0.142376
2025-05-25 0.015567 0.021454 0.029772 0.042727 0.063051 0.094891 0.151096
2025-06-01 0.014812 0.020625 0.028945 0.042096 0.063088 0.096636 0.157290
2025-06-08 0.014059 0.019761 0.028020 0.041254 0.062719 0.097666 0.162288
2025-06-15 0.013478 0.019124 0.027401 0.040848 0.063017 0.099803 0.169419
2025-06-22 0.012942 0.018530 0.026816 0.040456 0.063299 0.101908 0.176646
2025-06-29 0.012339 0.017809 0.026000 0.039643 0.062813 0.102625 0.181282
2025-07-06 0.012075 0.017592 0.025955 0.040080 0.064477 0.107240 0.193853
2025-07-13 0.011720 0.017221 0.025647 0.040060 0.065335 0.110446 0.203915
2025-07-20 0.011502 0.017051 0.025650 0.040557 0.067128 0.115486 0.218187
2025-07-27 0.011140 0.016640 0.025245 0.040333 0.067603 0.118069 0.227559
2025-08-03 0.010814 0.016273 0.024894 0.040183 0.068197 0.120909 0.237743